“You have an economy that has just turned out to be bigger than everyone thought. Its growing around 10 percent, and you have reserves growing to new record highs every month. Thats providing a lot of arguments for China to move a bit quicker on the currency front.”
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“Chinas new exchange rate regime has kept the China critics quiet for a while, but I think the honeymoon periods coming to an end pretty soon.”
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“Its still a fast pace and thats partly to do with the difficulty in managing this very large balance of payments surplus because part of it is spilling over into the money supply.”
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“The risk of protectionist pressures is rising. If there was a trade war, over the medium term both would lose.”
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“Asia has the makings of a new economic paradigm, where it moves away from the export-led model.”
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“Most likely there will be tighter policies introduced in the coming months, if not weeks. The questions is: what is the right approach to deal with an increasingly market-orientated policy?”
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“This is not good; it raises concerns about the sustainability of Chinas growth.”
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