“What were seeing in terms of currency movements - and it will probably continue at least over the near-term - is a shift in global monetary policy expectations. Theres a gearing-down of expectations for Fed tightening, coupled with increased tightening expectations elsewhere.”
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“This basically confirms their story, so steady as she goes on that front.”
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“The Bank of Canada cannot afford to be complacent if it wants to keep inflation in check over its 18-24 month time horizon ... Look for the overnight rate to peak at 4 percent.”
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“This report paints a picture very similar to the fall survey and shows an economy practically at full capacity.”
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“The market is starting to price out some of the rate increases that have been priced in.”
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“If we end up with a majority government you could see a bit of a rally in the currency but it would be short-lived. Canadas economy is comfortably in surplus and that backdrop isnt going to change, no matter who wins.”
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“They said nothings changed in their view of the economy so markets focused on the word modest to mean theyll be less aggressive.”
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“In our view, there is still is every reason for the Bank of Canada to continue to nudge its rate higher, and we are not changing our call for a four per cent (overnight) rate by April.”
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“This is really a tale of two job markets.”
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“So exports actually contributed to net GDP growth in November.”
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