“The risk for the U.S. is that the housing market there may slow markedly, so you can actually argue that for once the UK is actually leading the U.S..”
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“A no change outcome looks virtually certain.”
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“Euro-zone data flow this morning will encourage further hawkish rhetoric from the ECB.”
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“Hurricane insurance payouts will not recur, we expect the deficit to narrow sharply again in Q4 2005. Therefore the negative impact on sterling from todays release should be short-lived.”
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“Hurricane insurance payouts will not recur, we expect the deficit to narrow sharply again in Q4 2005. The negative impact on sterling from todays release should be short-lived.”
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“Inflationary pressures are gradually easing, which should offer scope for interest rate cuts, but near-term relative economic strength has led us to pencil in the first cut coming in May rather than in the first quarter.”
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“Were probably going to get two members who go for a cut. The data isnt pointing in one direction enough for the rest of the committee to go with them just yet.”
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“Average earnings growth was far softer than anticipated. It remained at 3.5% ... and is well below the 4.5% rate that the Bank of England has in the past considered compatible with its inflation forecast.”
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“Todays data is very weak, which adds to our concern about the prospects for consumer activity and the housing market in the months ahead.”
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“This ... will boost hopes that activity in the first half of 2006 will remain robust. It will also increase talk of the Fed raising rates again in May, to 5%.”
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