“Its not leaking into the core inflation rate as it did back in the 1970s.”
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“Usually coming out of a recession, you get a real spurt in productivity, which we got, but now things are settling down to what by historical standards are still very strong gains in productivity.”
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“Because theyve got the employment, the people go there. Its a virtuous circle. It works in the right direction.”
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“Fundamentally, money you spend at the gas pump is money you dont have to spend at the mall.”
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“The economy is living with it, and corporations are turning in strong profits despite high energy costs. People forget that energy isnt as big a part of the economy as it was 25 years ago.”
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“I dont think theres any cliff you suddenly walk off. Im not going to worry about a recession until we get up to $100 a barrel.”
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“My guess is things will cool abruptly; the question is do they do it by June 29.”
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“The second quarter is shaping up to be stronger than expected.”
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“Common sense says consumers have to stop spending money at some point. But consumers havent shown much common sense lately, despite griping about gas prices.”
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“It is rather encouraging that the Fed is pointing toward a pause after the May hike. A lot of us were getting concerned that the hikes would continue into June and August. And one of the problems is that what the Fed does now affects the economy a year from now.”
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