“It is dangerous to confuse children with angels”
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“Iran and Nigeria are uncertainties that hang over the market and can change the fundamentals very quickly.”
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“There is some prospect of fundamentals easing modestly this year. There could be more spare capacity this year than last year.”
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“Historically, spare capacity of 1 to 2 million b/d is still very low considering all the uncertainties on supply in Nigeria, Iraq, Iran and the Gulf of Mexico and it means theres not a huge margin of flexibility if anything should happen to those producers.”
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“There are concerns that the longer $60 oil persists, the greater the pressure will come (on Asian governments) to cut subsidies.”
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“The big question is when India and China begin to grapple with their subsidies.”
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