“So you put a little Jamaica in the fund, a little South Africa, a little Thailand. In a global crisis, all three will be a dog. But if youre a [hedge fund] manager, you dont care. You just want to offer as much diversification as possible, with as much yield as possible.”
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“The market wants Lula to win in the first round just to get this over with.”
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“Where the credit is really due is in the early part of Greenspans tenure: being faced with the aftershocks of the Wall Street crash in 1987 and dealing with that quite well. He confronted some very serious potential crises and got us to a point where we avoided them and are better off than we might have been otherwise.”
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“All of this is Monday morning quarterbacking. If you or I were in there wed probably have done a much worse job. His great legacy was his pragmatism. He was cautious.”
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“To Mexicos credit, they dont allow the oil windfall to get in the hands of the Treasury too much so they havent really grown dependent on it.”
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“Because the economy is so strong, import growth is also very strong, and that import growth is eroding trade surpluses. Surpluses of more than a billion a month might be over.”
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“In Mexico, there is too much risk priced in.”
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“On the flip side, there should be more concern in Brazil.”
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“Even if he doesnt win, he could be a radical voice for the left.”
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“It is a perfect time for populism. It will be more and more difficult for Brazil to resist.”
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